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\def\myurl{http://www.math.toronto.edu/~drorbn}
\def\thistalk{Princeton-260218}
\def\title{A Fast, Strong, Topologically Meaningful and Fun Knot Invariant}

\def\navigator{{
  \href{\myurl}{Dror Bar-Natan}:
  \href{\myurl/Talks}{Talks}:
  \href{\myurl/Talks/\thistalk/}{\thistalk}:
}}
\def\thanks{{Thanks for inviting me to Princeton!}}
\def\webdef{{{\greektext web}$\coloneqq$\href{http://drorbn.net/p26}{http://drorbn.net/p26}}}
\def\web#1{{\href{\myurl/Talks/\thistalk/#1}{{\greektext web}/#1}}}
\def\titleA{{\title}}
\def\titleB{{\title}}
\def\titleC{{\title}}

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\def\arXiv#1{{\href{http://arxiv.org/abs/#1}{{\tiny arXiv:}\linebreak[0]{#1}}}}

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\def\AS{\mathit{AS}}
\def\bbZZ{{\mathbb Z\mathbb Z}}
\def\CW{\text{\it CW}}
\def\diag{\operatorname{diag}}
\def\eps{\epsilon}
\def\FL{\text{\it FL}}
\def\Hom{\operatorname{Hom}}
\def\IHX{\mathit{IHX}}
\def\mor{\operatorname{mor}}
\def\PvT{{\mathit P\!v\!T}}
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\def\vT{{\mathit v\!T}}

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\def\barT{{\bar T}}
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\def\calD{{\mathcal D}}
\def\calF{{\mathcal F}}
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\def\calH{{\mathcal H}}
\def\calI{{\mathcal I}}
\def\calK{{\mathcal K}}
\def\calL{{\mathcal L}}
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\def\calS{{\mathcal S}}
\def\calT{{\mathcal T}}
\def\calU{{\mathcal U}}
\def\fraka{{\mathfrak a}}
\def\frakb{{\mathfrak b}}
\def\frakg{{\mathfrak g}}
\def\frakh{{\mathfrak h}}
\def\tilE{\tilde{E}}
\def\tilq{\tilde{q}}

\def\tDelta{\tilde{\Delta}}
\def\tf{\tilde{f}}
\def\tF{\tilde{F}}
\def\tg{\tilde{g}}
\def\tI{\tilde{I}}
\def\tm{\tilde{m}}
\def\tR{\tilde{R}}
\def\tsigma{\tilde{\sigma}}
\def\tS{\tilde{S}}
\def\tSW{\widetilde{\SW}}

\def\car{\reflectbox{\usym{1F697}}}
\def\rac{\usym{1F697}}

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%%%

\def\Abstract{{\raisebox{1.2mm}{\parbox[t]{3.3in}{
%\parshape 6 0in 3.35in 0in 3.35in 0in 3.35in 0in 3.35in 0in 3.35in 0in 3.95in
{\red\bf Abstract.} The title covers all the good. The bad is that
we don't really understand this invariant $\Theta$. Wait, is that
just part of the fun?

Continues Rozansky, Kricker, Garoufalidis, and
Ohtsuki \cite{Rozansky:Contribution, Rozansky:Burau, Rozansky:U1RCC,
Kricker:Lines, GaroufalidisRozansky:LoopExpansion, Ohtsuki:TwoLoop},
joint with van der Veen \cite{Theta}.

\parshape 1 0in 3.95in
\footnotesize {\bf\red Acknowledgement.} Work supported by NSERC
grants RGPIN-2018-04350 and RGPIN-2025-06718 and by the Chu Family Foundation (NYC).
}}}}

\def\Knots{{\raisebox{0.6mm}{\parbox[t]{3.95in}{
Tell them apart? Alternating? Bound a genus 7 surface? Complement is fibered over $S^1$? Complement is hyperbolic? Bounds
a disk with only ribbon singularities? Bounds a topological / smooth non-singular disk in $B^4$? 
$\ldots$
}}}}

\def\Strong{{\raisebox{2mm}{\parbox[t]{3.95in}{
{\red\bf Strong.} Testing $\Theta=(\Delta,\theta)$ on prime knots
up to mirrors and reversals, counting the number of distinct values
(with deficits in parenthesis):
\hfill{\footnotesize (\text{\it Vol} is approximate, $H\supset\Delta,J$)
}

\centering\small\begin{tabular}[t]{c|c|c|c|c}
  & knots & $(H,Kh,\text{\it Vol},\sigma_{LT})$ & $\Theta=(\Delta,\theta)$ & together \\
  \hline
  xing $\leq 10$ & 249 & 249 (0) & 249 (0) & 249 (0) \\
  \hline
  xing $\leq 11$ & 801 & 787 (14) & 798 (3) & 798 (3) \\
  \hline
  xing $\leq 12$ & 2,977 & (84) & (19) & (10) \\
  \hline
  xing $\leq 13$ & 12,965 & (911) & (194) & (169) \\
  \hline
  xing $\leq 14$ & 59,937 & (5,917) & (1,118) & (972) \\
  \hline
  xing $\leq 15$ & 313,230 & (41,434) & (6,758) & (6,304) \\
\end{tabular}
}}}}

\def\GC{{\raisebox{2mm}{\parbox[t]{3.95in}{
\parshape 1 0in 2.3in
{\red\bf Fast.} Here's $\Theta$ on a random 300 crossing
knot (from \cite{DHOEBL:Random}). For almost every other
invariant, that's science fiction.

\parshape 6 0in 2.3in 0in 2.3in 0in 2.3in 0in 2.3in 0in 2.3in 0in \linewidth
{\red\bf Fun.} There's so much more to see in 2D pictures
than in 1D ones! Yet almost nothing
of the patterns you see we know how to prove. We'll have fun with that
over the next few years. Would you join?

{\bf\red Meaningful.} $\theta$ gives a genus bound (with confidence and
with a near proof).  $\theta$ seems to give a criterion for a knot to
be fibered (conjectured with a large scale verification).  There are
``safe'' conjectured characterizations of $\theta$ as ``the two loop
invariant'' and as ``the one cobracket invariant''.
We hope (with reason) $\theta$ will say something about ribbon knots.
}}}}

\def\Conventions{{\raisebox{2mm}{\parbox[t]{3.95in}{
{\bf\red Conventions.} $T$, $T_1$, and $T_2$ are indeterminates and $T_3\coloneqq T_1T_2$.
}}}}

\def\Preparation{{\raisebox{2mm}{\parbox[t]{3in}{
{\red\bf Preparation.} Draw an $n$-crossing knot $K$ as a diagram $D$
as on the right: all crossings face up, and the edges are marked with
a running index ${k\in\{1,\ldots,2n+1\}}$ and with rotation numbers
$\varphi_k$.
}}}}

\def\TrafficRules{{\raisebox{2mm}{\parbox[t]{3in}{
\parshape 4 0in 3in 0in 3in 0in 3in 0.72in 2.28in
{\bf\red Model $T$ Traffic Rules.} Cars always drive
forward. When a car crosses over a sign-$s$ bridge it goes through with
(algebraic) probability $T^s\sim 1$, but falls off with probability
$1-T^s\sim 0$. At the very end, cars fall off and disappear.
On various edges {\em traffic counters} are placed.
See also~\cite{Jones:Hecke, LinTianWang:RandomWalk}.
}}}}

\def\dtA{{\tiny image credits:}}
\def\dtB{{\tiny \href{https://diamondtraffic.com/productcategory/Portable-Counters}{diamondtraffic.com}}}

\def\DallEA{{\tiny image credits:}}
\def\DallEB{{\tiny \href{https://labs.openai.com/}{Dall-E}}}

\def\gab{{\raisebox{2mm}{\parbox[t]{3.95in}{
\parshape 4 0in 2.9in 0in 2.9in 0in 2.9in 0in 3.95in
{\bf\red Definition.} The {\em traffic function} $G=(g_{\alpha\beta})$
(also, the {\em Green function} or the {\em two-point function}) is the
reading of a traffic counter at $\beta$, if car traffic is injected at
$\alpha$ (if $\alpha=\beta$, the counter is {\em after} the injection
point). There are also model-$T_\nu$ traffic functions
$G_\nu=(g_{\nu\alpha\beta})$ for $\nu=1,2,3$.
\hfill{\bf\red Example.}
}}}}

\def\kinkA{{$\sum_{p\geq 0}(1\!-\!T)^p=T^{-1}$}}
\def\kinkG{{$G=\begin{pmatrix}1&T^{-1}&1\\0&T^{-1}&1\\0&0&1\end{pmatrix}$}}

\def\Theorem{{\raisebox{2mm}{\parbox[t]{3.95in}{
\parshape 4 0in 2.875in 0in 2.875in 0in 2.875in 0in 3.95in
{\bf\red Theorem} \cite{Theta}. With $c=(s,i,j)$, $c_0=(s_0,i_0,j_0)$,
and $c_1=(s_1,i_1,j_1)$ denoting crossings, there is a quadratic
$F_1(c)\in\bbQ(T_\nu)[g_{\nu\alpha\beta}:\alpha,\beta\in\{i,j\}]$,
a cubic $F_2(c_0,c_1) \in
\bbQ(T_\nu)[g_{\nu\alpha\beta}:\alpha,\beta\in\{i_0,j_0,i_1,j_1\}]$, and a
linear $F_3(\varphi,k)$ such that $\theta$ is a knot invariant:
\[
  \theta(D) \coloneqq \underbrace{\Delta_1\Delta_2\Delta_3}_{\parbox{0.66in}{\scriptsize\centering
    normalization, see later
  }}
  \left(\sum_c F_1(c) + \sum_{c_0,c_1} F_2(c_0,c_1) + \sum_kF_3(\varphi_k,k)\right),
\]
\vskip 22mm
If these pictures remind you of Feynman diagrams, it's because they are Feynman
diagrams~\cite{IType}.
}}}}

\def\egA{{e.g. $g_{2ii} g_{3jj}$}}
\def\egB{{e.g. $g_{3j_0i_1}g_{1j_1i_0}g_{2i_1i_0}$}}
\def\egC{{e.g. $g_{3kk}$}}

\def\LemmaA{{\raisebox{2mm}{\parbox[t]{3.95in}{
{\bf\red Lemma 1.} The traffic function $g_{\alpha\beta}$ is a ``relative invariant'':
}}}}

\def\messA{{$(1\!-\!T)^2\!+\!T(1\!-\!T)$}}
\def\messB{{$(1\!-\!T)T$}}
\def\messC{{$T(1\!-\!T)$}}
\def\messD{{$1\!-\!T$}}
\def\i{{$i$}} \def\j{{$j$}} \def\k{{$k$}} \def\m{{$m$}} \def\n{{$n$}} \def\s{{$s$}}
\def\ip{{$i^+$}} \def\jp{{$j^+$}} \def\kp{{$k^+$}}
\def\ipp{{$i^{+\!+}$}} \def\jpp{{$j^{+\!+}$}} \def\kpp{{$k^{+\!+}$}}

\def\LemmaB{{\raisebox{2mm}{\parbox[t]{3.95in}{
\parshape 3 0in 3in 0in 3in 0in 3.95in
{\bf\red Lemma 2.} With $k^+\coloneqq k+1$, the ``$g$-rules'' hold near a crossing $c=(s,i,j)$:
\[
  g_{j\beta} = g_{j^+\beta} + \delta_{j\beta}
  \quad g_{i\beta} = T^sg_{i^+\beta} + (1-T^s)g_{j^+\beta} + \delta_{i\beta}
  \quad g_{2n^+,\beta} = \delta_{2n^+,\beta}
\]
\[
  g_{\alpha i^+} = T^sg_{\alpha i} + \delta_{\alpha i^+}
  \quad g_{\alpha j^+} = g_{\alpha j} + (1-T^s)g_{\alpha i} + \delta_{\alpha j^+}
  \quad g_{\alpha,1} = \delta_{\alpha,1}
  %\quad g_{\alpha,2n^+} = 1
\]
{\bf\red Corollary 1.} $G$ is easily computable, for $AG=I$ ($=GA$), with $A$ the $(2n+1)\times(2n+1)$
identity matrix with additional contributions:
\newline\null\hfill$
  c=(s,i,j) \mapsto \begin{array}{c|cccc}
    A & \text{col }i^+ & \text{col }j^+ \\
    \hline
    \text{row }i & -T^s & T^s-1 \\
    \text{row }j & 0 & -1
  \end{array}
$
\vskip -2mm For the trefoil example, we have:
\[
A=\left(
\begin{array}{ccccccc}
 1 & \mbluem{-T} & 0 & 0 & \mbluem{T-1} & 0 & 0 \\
 0 & 1 & \mpinkm{-1} & 0 & 0 & \mpinkm{\ 0\ } & 0 \\
 0 & 0 & 1 & \myellowm{-T} & 0 & 0 & \myellowm{T-1} \\
 0 & \mbluem{\ 0\ } & 0 & 1 & \mbluem{-1} & 0 & 0 \\
 0 & 0 & \mpinkm{T-1} & 0 & 1 & \mpinkm{-T} & 0 \\
 0 & 0 & 0 & \myellowm{\ 0\ } & 0 & 1 & \myellowm{-1} \\
 0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 1 \\
\end{array}
\right),
\]
\[
G=\left(
\begin{array}{ccccccc}
 1 & T & 1 & T & 1 & T & 1 \\
 0 & 1 & \frac{1}{T^2-T+1} & \frac{T}{T^2-T+1} & \frac{T}{T^2-T+1} & \frac{T^2}{T^2-T+1} &
   1 \\
 0 & 0 & \frac{1}{T^2-T+1} & \frac{T}{T^2-T+1} & \frac{T}{T^2-T+1} & \frac{T^2}{T^2-T+1} &
   1 \\
 0 & 0 & \frac{1-T}{T^2-T+1} & \frac{1}{T^2-T+1} & \frac{1}{T^2-T+1} & \frac{T}{T^2-T+1} &
   1 \\
 0 & 0 & \frac{1-T}{T^2-T+1} & -\frac{(T-1) T}{T^2-T+1} & \frac{1}{T^2-T+1} &
   \frac{T}{T^2-T+1} & 1 \\
 0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 1 & 1 \\
 0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 1 \\
\end{array}
\right)
\]
}}}}

\def\Alexander{{\raisebox{2mm}{\parbox[t]{3.95in}{
{\bf\red Note.} The Alexander polynomial $\Delta$ is given by
\newline\null
  \hfill$\Delta = T^{(-\varphi-w)/2}\det(A)$,
  \hfill with $\varphi = \sum_k \varphi_k$, $w = \sum_c s$.
  \hfill\null
\newline We also set $\Delta_\nu\coloneqq\Delta(T_\nu)$ for $\nu=1,2,3$.
}}}}

\def\Diamond{{$\xymatrix@R=2mm@C=3mm{
  & \text{\textquestiondown} \text{\it HF}\theta ? \ar@{--}[ld] \ar@{--}[rd] & \\
  \text{\it HFK} \ar@{-}[rd] & & \theta \ar@{-}[ld] \\
  & \Delta &
}$}}

\def\Conjectures{{\raisebox{2mm}{\parbox[t]{3.95in}{
{\red\bf Questions, Conjectures, Expectations, Dreams.}

%\parshape 5 0in 2.6in 0in 2.6in 0in 2.6in 0in 2.6in 0in 3.95in
\parshape 1 0in 2.6in
{\bf Question 1.} Can you Heegaard-Floerify $\theta$?
Note that the genus conjecture and the fibred conjecture suggest strongly that there is a formula for
$\theta$ starting from other/any presentation of the Alexander module.

Note also that $\theta$ depends only on the numerators of $A^{-1}$,
and they are very-Alexandrish determinants that give ``relative'' knot
invariants. There should at least be $\text{\it HFg}_{\alpha\beta}$,
if only for other presentations of the Alexander module!

{\bf Conjecture 2.} On classical (non-virtual) knots, $\theta$ always has hexagonal 
($D_6$) symmetry.

{\bf Conjecture 3.} $\theta$ is the $\epsilon^1$ contribution to
the ``solvable approximation'' of the $sl_3$ universal invariant,
obtained by running the quantization machinery on the double
$\calD(\frakb,b,\eps\delta)$, where $\frakb$ is the Borel subalgebra of
$sl_3$, $b$ is the bracket of $\frakb$, and $\delta$ the cobracket.
See \cite{PG, DPG, Schaveling:Thesis}

{\bf Conjecture 4.} $\theta$ is equal to the ``two-loop
contribution to the Kontsevich Integral'', as studied by
Garoufalidis, Rozansky, Kricker, and in great detail by Ohtsuki
\cite{GaroufalidisRozansky:LoopExpansion, Rozansky:Contribution, Rozansky:Burau,
Rozansky:U1RCC, Kricker:Lines, Ohtsuki:TwoLoop}.

{\bf Fact 5.} $\theta$ has a perturbed Gaussian integral formula,
with integration carried out over over a space $6E$, consisting of 6
copies of the space of edges of a knot diagram $D$. See \cite{IType}.

%{\bf Conjecture 6.} For any knot $K$, its genus $g(K)$ is bounded by the $T_1$-degree of
%$\theta$: $2g(K) \geq \deg_{T_1}\theta(K)$.

{\bf Conjecture 6.} $\theta(K)$ has another perturbed Gaussian integral
formula, with integration carried out over over the space $6H_1$,
consisting of 6 copies of $H_1(\Sigma)$, where $\Sigma$ is a Seifert
surface for $K$.

{\bf Expectation 7.} There are many further invariants like $\theta$, given by Green function
formulas and/or Gaussian integration formulas. One or two of them may be stronger than $\theta$
and as
\newline computable.

\parshape 1 0in 3.08in
{\bf Dream 8.} These invariants can be explained by something less foreign than semisimple
Lie algebras.

\parshape 1 0in 1.65in
{\bf Dream 9.} With Conjecture 7 in mind, $\theta$ will have something to say about ribbon knots.

Many further homework tasks can be found at \cite{LesDiablerets-2601}.
}}}}

\def\refs{{\raisebox{4mm}{\resizebox{3.95in}{!}{\parbox[t]{4.666666in}{
%{\red\bf References.}
{\footnotesize
\def\bysame{{---}}
%\par\vspace{-3mm}
\renewcommand{\section}[2]{}%
\begin{thebibliography}{}
\setlength{\parskip}{0pt}
\setlength{\itemsep}{0pt plus 0.3ex}

\import{}{refs.tex}

\end{thebibliography}}
}}}}}

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\begin{document} \latintext
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\setlength{\belowdisplayskip}{0.5ex}
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\setlength{\belowdisplayshortskip}{0ex}

\begin{center} \null\vfill\input{FSMFT1.pdftex_t}\vfill\null \end{center}

\begin{center} \null\vfill\import{}{FSMFT2.pdftex_t}\vfill\null \end{center}

\newgeometry{textwidth=8in,textheight=10.5in}

\begin{multicols*}{2}

{\bf\red Corollary 2.} Proving invariance is easy:

\resizebox{\linewidth}{!}{\import{../Toronto-241030}{R3.pdftex_t}}

\import{../PhuQuoc-2506}{Theta.tex}

\end{multicols*}

\newpage \newgeometry{textwidth=8in,textheight=10.5in}

\parbox[t]{5.45in}{
  The 132-crossing torus knot $T_{22/7}$:\hfill(many more at \web{TK})
  \newline\includegraphics[width=\linewidth]{../Toronto-241030/T227Plot.pdf}
}
\hfill
\parbox[t]{2.45in}{
  Random knots from \cite{DHOEBL:Random} with 51 -- 75
  crossings: (many more at \web{DK})
  \newline
  \vskip -7mm\includegraphics[height=\linewidth,angle=-90]{../LesDiablerets-2601/figs/Beehive.pdf}
}

%\newpage \newgeometry{textwidth=8in,textheight=10.5in}
%
%The 132-crossing torus knot $T_{22/7}$:\hfill(many more at \web{TK})
%\[ \includegraphics[width=0.9\linewidth]{../Toronto-241030/T227Plot.pdf} \]
%
%Random knots from \cite{DHOEBL:Random}, with 50-73 crossings:\hfill(many more at \web{DK})
%
%\[ \includegraphics[width=0.95\linewidth]{../UBC-241004/Gallery50-73.png} \]

\begin{multicols}{2}

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\hfill{\normalsize\red\bf References.}

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\end{document}

\endinput

